PLANETARY DEFENCES / PD

Space Risk
Operational
Intelligence.

Five space-risk domains. One connected intelligence layer.

PD connects space conditions, mission data and sensor evidence to show what is changing, where it matters and whether the available information can be trusted.

Research-backed. Built for human decisions.

THE PD PERSPECTIVE
Orbit intelligence

Drag to explore · Illustrative view, not live data

Orbit & missionSpace environmentSpacecraft & sensor healthNavigation & ground effectsMission & defence assurance

01 WHY CONTEXT MATTERS

One storm.
Different consequences.

The same warning can mean different things to different systems. What matters depends on the asset, the place and the available evidence.

ONE EVENT. THREE PERSPECTIVES.
Shared environment

THE ENVIRONMENT

A warning is the beginning.

The environment is shared. The useful question depends on the system you are looking after.

A
What changed?

Space conditions.

B
What matters here?

Your asset and location.

Illustrative story. Not a live forecast or an asset-risk score.

A warning tells you something changed.
The next question is what matters here.

02 / THE PD PLATFORM

Different questions.
One connected view.

Explore orbit forecasts, spacecraft readings and changing space conditions—alongside the evidence behind each result.

THE PD CAPABILITY EXPLORER
Research-tested capabilities and engineering demonstrations. Live mission use requires a separate customer evaluation.
Capability context

Research-tested capabilities and engineering demonstrations. Live mission use requires a separate customer evaluation.

For everyday operations and changing space conditions alike.

03 / MEASURED RESULTS

See the difference
in the results.

Separate historical studies. Specific comparisons. Explore what each result measures and how it was tested.

HISTORICAL RESEARCH

Orbit refinement

369m131m

64.47% lower average 3D error · 48 h

Rounded metres. Historical 48-hour refinement across 145 forecasts using the same public rapid-orbit inputs. Not a competitor comparison.

HISTORICAL RESEARCH

Satellite health

2912

58.62% fewer classification errors

Selected OPS-SAT completed segments, randomly split, against the version-matched author example. Not advance failure prediction.

HISTORICAL RESEARCH

Geomagnetic forecasting

22.91%

lower overall Hp60 forecast RMSE · 3 h

3-hour Hp60 forecasts · RMSE across 52,123 historical samples. Measures index values, not storm-warning accuracy.

These studies are separate from the illustrative storm story. The percentages measure different kinds of error—not one overall accuracy.

Explore all evidence

04 / ONE CONCRETE EXAMPLE

Start with a better
orbit forecast.

Take orbit forecasting as one example. Compare the recorded results at 12, 24 and 48 hours, using the same starting data.

ORBIT REFINEMENT
Average 3D position error131.114 mPD · 48-hour horizon
Illustrative trajectory
64.47%

lower average position error

Original forecast368.974 m

Planetary Defences131.114 m

145 forecasts · Compared using the same historical inputs

Sentinel-3A / 3B / 6A public rapid-orbit products. Historical forecast correction, not independent orbit determination or a competitor comparison.
Study context

Sentinel-3A / 3B / 6A public rapid-orbit products. Historical forecast correction, not independent orbit determination or a competitor comparison.

Follow the study, not just the percentage.
The question, the comparison and what the result supports.

05 / CAN THE READINGS BE USED?

A missing reading is not
a healthy system.

Understanding the environment is one question. Knowing whether the readings can be used is another. PD’s sensor-assurance demonstrator makes incomplete or conflicting information visible.

Illustrative mission-assurance example. Not operational detection accuracy.

THE INFORMATION PICTURE

ILLUSTRATIVE VIEW

A picture worth reviewing.

The picture changes. Your mission stays in focus.

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Illustrative display · Not live equipment or operational scoring.

06 / THE CONNECTED PICTURE

Keep the mission in focus.
See the bigger picture.

Context, a clear comparison and a result you can understand. Explore the perspective PD is being developed to bring.

THE CONNECTED VIEW

01 / CONTEXT

Understand the context.

Keep the mission question and available information visible.

Mission context
Conceptual illustration. No live inputs, internal assessment rules or mission commands.

Designed for people to review—not automated mission control.

Explore mission assurance

07 / WORK WITH PD

Start with your mission.
Define the difference.

Start with one question, compare against what you use today and agree how success will be measured.

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PD / INTERACTIVE EXPERIENCE

Different studies keep their own baseline and population. This view does not combine them into a common accuracy score.

RESEARCH IN FOCUS

Historical study

A closer look at the evidence.

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